This was a tough one to make it through Although it is written for the curious layman, and the author does a good job of laying out the science in as simple of terms as are possible also using analogies, and reminds of where information is covered the science is over such large timescales past and future that it is just hard to wrap your head around The chapters are concise, and organized well, but this is a book about science on timescales that humans just have a hard time with. This book was great in terms of its content I appreciated that Archer covered the different aspects of the climate system in its present state, its deep past, and its deep future However, I was under the impression that this book would be appropriate to reach a general audience I would say that especially in the first part there are three parts , this was true This was also true of the epilogue In between though, I, an atmospheric science PhD, often got bored If you want an accurate, comprehensive explanation how how Earth s climate has changed, how it is likely to change, and why, Yes, The Long Thaw is a fine read But just know that it s good to approach it as an accessible textbook at times, rather than a comfortable read for a wide variety of audiences Especially as a scientist, I know we can do a better job of making climate science interesting and accessible to the general public, so they can have the intellectual tools available to try to make sense out of the many news stories they hear about our climate. DOWNLOAD ☪ The Long Thaw: How Humans Are Changing the Next 100,000 Years of Earth's Climate (Science Essentials) ☨ If You Think That Global Warming Means Slightly Hotter Weather And A Modest Rise In Sea Levels That Will Persist Only So Long As Fossil Fuels Hold Out Or Until We Decide To Stop Burning Them , Think Again In The Long Thaw, David Archer, One Of The World S Leading Climatologists, Predicts That If We Continue To Emit Carbon Dioxide We May Eventually Cancel The Next Ice Age And Raise The Oceans By Meters The Great Ice Sheets In Antarctica And Greenland May Take Than A Century To Melt, And The Overall Change In Sea Level Will Be One Hundred Times What Is Forecast For By Comparing The Global Warming Projection For The Next Century To Natural Climate Changes Of The Distant Past, And Then Looking Into The Future Far Beyond The Usual Scientific And Political Horizon Of The Year , Archer Reveals The Hard Truths Of The Long Term Climate ForecastArcher Shows How Just A Few Centuries Of Fossil Fuel Use Will Cause Not Only A Climate Storm That Will Last A Few Hundred Years, But Dramatic Climate Changes That Will Last Thousands Carbon Dioxide Emitted Today Will Be A Problem For Millennia For The First Time, Humans Have Become Major Players In Shaping The Long Term Climate In Fact, A Planetwide Thaw Driven By Humans Has Already Begun But Despite The Seriousness Of The Situation, Archer Argues That It Is Still Not Too Late To Avert Dangerous Climate Change If Humans Can Find A Way To Cooperate As Never BeforeRevealing Why Carbon Dioxide May Be An Even Worse Gamble In The Long Run Than In The Short, This Compelling And Critically Important Book Brings The Best Long Term Climate Science To A General Audience For The First Time Red Bottom Matrimony: Three Short Stories Think Again In The Long Thaw BORN IN VENGEANCE David Archer Geschwister des Wassers: Roman One Of The World S Leading Climatologists Laura Blundy Predicts That If We Continue To Emit Carbon Dioxide We May Eventually Cancel The Next Ice Age And Raise The Oceans By Meters The Great Ice Sheets In Antarctica And Greenland May Take Than A Century To Melt Operation Atonement And The Overall Change In Sea Level Will Be One Hundred Times What Is Forecast For By Comparing The Global Warming Projection For The Next Century To Natural Climate Changes Of The Distant Past Toner i natten And Then Looking Into The Future Far Beyond The Usual Scientific And Political Horizon Of The Year The Chronicles of Conan, Volume 13: Whispering Shadows and Other Stories Archer Reveals The Hard Truths Of The Long Term Climate ForecastArcher Shows How Just A Few Centuries Of Fossil Fuel Use Will Cause Not Only A Climate Storm That Will Last A Few Hundred Years Australias Flying Doctors But Dramatic Climate Changes That Will Last Thousands Carbon Dioxide Emitted Today Will Be A Problem For Millennia For The First Time Bliss County - Der Traum in WeiÃŸ Humans Have Become Major Players In Shaping The Long Term Climate In Fact Web of the City A Planetwide Thaw Driven By Humans Has Already Begun But Despite The Seriousness Of The Situation Hydrodynamic Stability Archer Argues That It Is Still Not Too Late To Avert Dangerous Climate Change If Humans Can Find A Way To Cooperate As Never BeforeRevealing Why Carbon Dioxide May Be An Even Worse Gamble In The Long Run Than In The Short Reefer Madness This Compelling And Critically Important Book Brings The Best Long Term Climate Science To A General Audience For The First Time I m gonna finally admit that I won t finish this book and return it to the library I ve been hogging it since January, and have only read half It s not bad In fact, it s very interesting, and I took notes as I read it It s just that there are so many much fun books I d rather be reading right now It s the too many books, too little time problemIn any case, I feel I m pretty decently prepared to counter any acquaintance s argument against global warming thanks to this book, and I will definitely recommend it to any college student writing a paper on the subject It s not hard to read, but it s not easy either, and in this day and age, I would say the text is difficult enough that most people won t read past the first couple of chapters There are lots of charts and graphs, but the main information is repeated often enough and astounding enough that you absorb it even if you don t understand every detail of the science behind it. I was a bit late to the party reading this book I pay attention to the author s blog and decided to read his book since I didn t know much about the possible, very long geologic time impacts of anthropogenic climate change and what we know of the very deep climate past.The depth of his knowledge is impressive and I liked his direct and explicit writing, he didn t waste any time communicating facts, figures, knowledge, and uncertainties Yet it still felt conversational.I learned about methane hydrates than I previously knew and why the author thinks we don t need to worry too much about it though he does warn that we re changing the climate to a state the Earth hasn t seen in millions of years and that may have an effect on the hydrates we can t predict.I also learned about what we think we know of the past glaciation cycles and that the carbon cycle on Earth doesn t only cause warming cooling but that it also amplifies warming and cooling, most likely caused in past glaciation cycles by changes in Earth s orbit Which means that humans forcing warming via injection of CO2 into the atmosphere will likely experience carbon cycle amplification.The book also taught me things I didn t know about ice sheets and sea level rise, that sea level rise will change most dramatically as a result of thermal expansion of the oceans and not from melting ice.I like that he kept the book educational and free of political ideology even though politics matters on this issue , it felt like a science class instead of a doom and gloom book, or an activism book But it was also written than a decade ago and a lot has happened since so I don t know if the author would write with such measured tone today I m not sure I could.Overall, I do not feel hopeful for people in the future or even for some of us in the near future Not because we have a lack of technology or ingenuity but because humans really suck at cooperation and long term thinking As we say on the tech industry our biggest problems aren t technical, they re social I don t have a good solution in mind beyond some hopeful geoengineering projects and living my life with intergenerational ethics in mind If there s anything that gives me hope it s permaculture, appropriate technology, and science.The information and perspective presented in this small book feels important for informing personal and collective decisions to be made now that may at least contribute ever so slightly to lessening someone s suffering in the future and not just 100 years from now but 1,000 to 10,000 years from now since it will take longer than that for the igneous weathering effect to remove CO2 I emit right now. I guess this was worth reading, but I don t think it s actually as easy for a layperson to read and understand as the book reviews claim Also, it s pretty dry, and for me, few of his analogies worked in helping me better understand climate issues But parts of it were really readable and simple, and because it s so dry and it s really focused on climate changes, it s not at all scary or alarming He doesn t really talk much about how the expected weather instability might affect humans or humans lifestyles. The content of the book is first rate, well and clearly written, by an expert in the field If that was the only basis for the rating it would unhesitatingly give it 5 stars.The reason I have only given the book 4 starts is because the level at which it is written is probably mismatched to many who would like and benefit from reading this book I would not hesitate to use this in one of my physics classes at the University, for science majors I would hesitate to use it in a physics class for liberal arts majors It is understandable by the non science major, but with perhaps effort than would be desirable I would encourage the non science major to make the effort, you will be rewarded for your trouble.This book contains an important message about timescales In my work I have occasion to talk to a number of climate change activists, many of whom do not have a strong science background This book nicely addresses many of their misconceptions about the timing of events They need to read this book So I wish this book or perhaps a companion piece was aimed at an audience with a lower level of scientific understanding.I do recommend the book. In a nutshell what we do to the Earth today will be around for much longer than we could ever imagine Though we may stop polluting the Atmosphere, it will still get worse before it begins to get better because the ball has already been set in motion and because Geologic time is so slow, think of radioactive half life If it s say 10000 years, total breakdown is in 20ooo well our affect upon the Earth will be similar, for the Earth to take time to correct itself back to what it was before we began pumping CO2 into the Atmosphere at an unprecedented rate It s going to take a long time David Archer explains this very clearly in this book It is not a long book, 174pgs but enough information to give you pause. This is a bok written by a prestigious professional scientist expert in the subject.There are many books on global warming and climate change,but i think this is mainly foccused on the physics,climatic,paleoclimatic,glaciations and long term consecuences of the massive release by us of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere.The book yet is a popular science book is rigurous that the average in its explanations.Makes a serious exposition of the greenhouse effect,of the orbital and axis of earth inclination features in explain the trigger og glacial ages and the interglacials.Explains with detail the interchanges of carbon dioxide between oceans and atmosphere and the capacity of the oceans for absorb it,exposes also detailed the acidificacion process of the oceans and its consecuences.Makes the prediction that in the busines as usual case in the next 100 years or ,the long term consecuences,is to say in milennia,will be a rising in planetary average temperatures of till 5 C degrees for long time thouands of years and that in a period of centuries the melt of Greenland and Antartica ice sheets will give way to till 70 meters in ocean level rise with the obvious effect of substatially reduction of emerged land and displazament of at least a 10% of worlds population.Undelines the danger of unexpected catastrophic effects ,as the massive release of methane by the permafrost and bottom of oceans specially the Artic driving the planet to disastrous ancient massive extintions event, as for example the Paleocene Eocene thermal maximun event,55 million years ago.the book gives a lot of data and graphics,says that the speed of rise in the carbon dioxide concentration has not known precedents,that from 1750 we have released to the atmosphere the eqivalent of extra 300 Gigatons of equvalent carbon 300000 millions of tons ,that we are releasing 10000 millions of tons every year to day and growing exponentially,surely disrupting the normal climate cicles for 100000 to 500000 years accordig to scenario.The book al says that for avoid trespass the 2 C consensus we will ought stabilice the concentration in 420 ppm October of 2016 is 402 ppm,the highest in recent several million years a very difficult task that will make neccesary a strong and serious international ,very unlakely, cooperation.A serious ,rigurous,with clear explanations of the consecuences of our actions book. The bottom line for our forecast of the future is that the Earth has the ability to look after its own climate, but only if we are willing to wait a few hundred thousand years It takes that long for the imbalance of CO release and uptake back into the Earth to affect the CO concentration of the atmosphere and ocean The slow response time of Earth s thermostat is the reason why our own climate experiment from releasing fossil fuel CO will persist for hundreds of thousands of years into the future The Long Thaw How Humans Are Changing the Next 100 000 Years of Earth s Climate will guide you through the science of how even our short term degradation of our atmosphere will have a long term impact And even if the science is a bit much for you, the Prologue and Chapter Seven alone will give you the information you need to be environmentally aware and to know that something has to be done about our current energy habits Where does this book come down on global warming A climate change of the magnitude of the deglaciation of 5 6 C, would be catastrophic to human civilization The forecast for future warming, 3 5 C, is less than that for deglaciation, but the warming would take the planet to a climate unlike any in millions of years A climate shift of this magnitude would rearrange the landscape and societies of the Earth This is a book in the Science Essentials series Books in the series bring cutting edge science to a general audience The series provides the foundation for a better understanding of the scientific and technical advances changing our world In each volume, a prominent scientist chosen by an advisory board of the National Academy of Sciences members conveys in clear prose the fundamental knowledge underlying a rapidly evolving field of scientific endeavor I learned a lot about global warming and how it fits in with the Earth s natural temperature regulation It is a short book but filled with mostly accessible information But you don t have to understand it all to benefit from the content Requiring automobiles to get better fuel economy is just the tip of the iceberg And we don t seem to be able to even do that in a timely manner This relatively short book does not deal with the politics of the issue, just the science And now even energy efficient light bulbs come under Congressional attack since it is an American right to waste energy The environmentalists on the political left the people who brought you 1.6 gallon toilets have recently succeeded in getting ordinary light bulbs banned in the United States The federal ban on incandescent bulbs is a clear violation of the Tenth Amendment to the U.S Constitution, but unfortunately there are few people in Washington or anywhere else who give that technicality a second thought Source Read it and weep.
- The Long Thaw: How Humans Are Changing the Next 100,000 Years of Earth's Climate (Science Essentials)
- David Archer
- 10 May 2017 David Archer